Oscar Predictions

90th Academy Awards Live Blog!

Posted by Matthew on March 04, 2018
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Tonight is the 90th annual Academy Awards and for the 6th year in a row we are live blogging! Newest updates are at the top!

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Matt’s 2018 Oscar Thoughts and Predictions

Posted by Matthew on March 04, 2018
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It’s time for the 90th Annual Academy Awards tonight and that means that Simon and I will be live blogging the show! As always I’m publishing my guesses and thoughts now so that they are on the record ahead of time so that I can be held accountable for my guesses. Usually I have some pretty strong ideas of what’s going to happen but this year everything feels a bit up in the air.

Last years show was a bit bonkers what with the Best Picture mix up so the show is pretty certain to be a little less exciting at least. In any event let’s get right to my thoughts on the categories.

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89th Academy Awards Liveblog!

Posted by Matthew on February 26, 2017
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Greetings all! Tonight is the night of the 89th Annual Academy Awards and for the sixth year we will be live blogging the night! We’ll be posting some updates to twitter but the bulk of it will be right here.

We’ll be updating the winners below, and here are Matt’s predictions.

The show starts in 40 minutes, we’ll see you then!

The Winners:

  • Best Picture: Moonlight La La Land
  • Best Director: Damien Chazelle for Moonlight.
  • Best Actor: Casey Affleck in Manchester by the Sea
  • Best Actress: Emma Stone in La La Land
  • Best Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali in Moonlight
  • Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis in Fences
  • Best Adapted Screenplay: Barry Jenkins & Tarell Alvin McRaney for Moonlight
  • Best Original Screenplay: Kenneth Lonergan for Manchester by the Sea
  • Best Foreign Language Film: The Salesman (Iran)
  • Best Animated Feature: Zootopia
  • Best Animated Short: Piper
  • Best Documentary Feature: O.J.: Made In America
  • Best Documentary Short: The White Helmets
  • Best Live Action Short: Sing
  • Best Cinematography: La La Land
  • Best Film Editing: Hacksaw Ridge
  • Best Makeup & Hairstyling: Suicide Squad
  • Best Costume Design: Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
  • Best Production Design: La La Land
  • Best Original Song: City of Stars from La La Land
  • Best Original Score: Justin Hurwitz for La La Land
  • Best Sound Mixing: Hacksaw Ridge
  • Best Sound Editing: Arrival
  • Best Visual Effects: The Jungle Book

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Matt’s 2017 Oscar Thoughts and Predictions

Posted by Matthew on February 15, 2017
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The Academy Awards are upon us once again. It’s easy to be cynical about the Oscars, whether it’s because your favourite films never win or because of the endless campaigning, or because it’s, or because of the whole “rich people giving each other statues” thing, but I still kinda like them.

This year the nominees are mostly good, so here they all are along with some thoughts, opinions, and a prediction or two.

The Oscars are being held on the 26th of February. Join us on the day for our 6th annual liveblog of the ceremony!

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2016 Academy Awards Liveblog

Posted by Matthew on February 28, 2016
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Is the 88th Annual Academy Awards, and the 5th Annual Awesome Friday Oscars Liveblog! Newer updates are at the top!

Winners so Far: (y or n for my predictions)

  • Best Original Screenplay: Spotlight (y)
  • Best Adapted Screenplay: The Big Short (y)
  • Best Supporting Actress: Alicia Vikander (n)
  • Best Costume Design: Mad Max (n)
  • Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Mad Max (y)
  • Best Production Design: Mad Max (y)
  • Best Cinematography: Emmanuel Lubezki (y)
  • Best Editing: Mad Max (y)
  • Best Sound Editing: Mad Max (y)
  • Best Sound Mixing: Mad Max (y)
  • Best Visual Effects: Ex Machina (n)
  • Best Animated Short: Bear Story (-)
  • Best Animated Feature: Inside Out (y)
  • Best Supporting Actor: Mark Rylance (n)
  • Best Documentary Short: A Girl in the River (-)
  • Best Documentary Feature: Amy (y)
  • Best Live Action Short: Stutterer (-)
  • Best Foreign Language Film: Son of Saul (-)
  • Best Original Score: Ennio Morricone (y)
  • Best Original Song: The Writing’s On The Wall (n)
  • Best Director: Alejandro González Iñárritu (y)
  • Best Actress: Brie Larson (y)
  • Best Actor: Leonardo DiCaprio (y)
  • Best Picture: Spotlight (n)

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Matt’s Oscar Predictions

Posted by Matthew on February 28, 2016
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The Oscars are tonight and as usual we’ll be live blogging them! Just so they’re on the record ahead of time here are my predictions for each category.

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87th Academy Awards Live Blog

Posted by Matthew on February 22, 2015
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This is a live blog. Newest posts at the top.

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The 2015 Oscar Nominations (Or The Year I Fall Out Of Love With The Oscars)

Posted by Matthew on January 15, 2015
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This morning the nominations for the 87th Annual Academy Awards wre announced and boy howdy were they ever bull-fucking-shit. You can take to my twitter stream to see some of my immediate reactions but basically the nominations don’t make a lot of sense to me.

Selma, a movie that is critically acclaimed and features an amazing performance by David Oyelowo and fantastic direction by director Ava DuVernay was nominated for best picture and best song, but literally nothing else.

The Lego Movie was left out of the best Animated Feature race, but Big Hero 6 made it in.

The Academy can nominate as many as ten films for best picture but nly nominated 8. They included The Imitation Game, and The Theory of Everything, (which are both fine, but not great) but left out Gone Girl, Nightcrawler, The Lego Movie, and tons of others.

Tilda Swinton, who had three amazing performances this year, didn’t get nominated. Bradley Cooper is nominated for the third year in a row despite being in a film that as far as I can tell is a bore. Someone must really like him.

All 20 acting nominees are white. 7 of the 8 best picture nominees are about white male heroes. That’s bad even by the standards of the old mens “we hate change” club that is the Academy.

I could go on but I won’t. I will say that there are some good things happening. JK Simmons is nominated! Wes Anderson has his first ever Best Director nod! I’ve always liked the oscars and I’ve enjoyed live blogging the ceremony the last few years but this years nominees are all… “safe”. Which is a real shame. This might be the year I finally fall out of love with the Oscars.

Hit the jump to see the full list but despair as the good is far outweighed by the bad.

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First Trailer – The Theory of Everything

Posted by Katherine on August 08, 2014
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Eddie Redmayne & Felicity Jones star as Stephen Hawking and his wife Jane and how they met in University.  Until this moment I hadn’t heard about this movie, or known much about Hawking’s life before the Hawking we all think of today.  It’s being released in the US on November 7th.  I’m putting it at a dark horse Oscar contender for best actor.

Also starring David Thewlis (Harry Potter), Emily Watson (Punch-Drunk Love), Charlie Cox (Boardwalk Empire) & Harry Lloyd (Game of Thrones).

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86th Academy Awards Liveblog

Posted by Matthew on March 02, 2014
Live Blog / 7 Comments

86th Oscars

It’s that time again folks for us to sit in judgement of choices that millionaires make as they give each other solid gold statues.

You can check Matt’s predictions here but in the mean time sit back, relax, and enjoy your flight.

Newest updates at the top of the page.

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Matt’s 2014 Oscar Predictions

Posted by Matthew on March 01, 2014
Editorial / 1 Comment

86th Oscars

The Oscars are tomorrow! We’ll be live blogging them for the third year running and last year it was fun to have my thoughts out there ahead of time, so I’m going to lock myself into a few predictions again.

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2013 Oscar Predictions

Posted by Matthew on February 24, 2013
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85th Academy Awards

The Oscars are later tonight and Simon and I will be live blogging them. Just for fun, I’m going to lock myself into a few predictions.

Sundry Categories

Without going into too much detail on these ones here are how I’d like to see a few of the categories with less fanfare to play out.

  • “Skyfall” to win Best Original Score.

It’s the only memorable one of the nominees.

  • “Skyfall” to win Best Original Song.

Best Bond Song in years and just a great song. Outside chance for Everybody Needs a Best Friend from Ted, but doubtful.

  • Roger Deakins to win Best Cinematography for “Skyfall”.

There’s lots of reasons to love Roger Deakins, but more to the point he’s never won the awards despite some brilliant work and Skyfall is a gorgeous film.

  • “Prometheus” for Best Visual Effects.

Prometheus is not a good film, but it’s a gorgeous film and the effects are seamless.

  • Animated Movies

I haven’t seen all the nominees for best Animated Feature, so I have no idea who will win. I have hoever seen all the nominees for Best Animated Short and I really hope that Paperman wins.

And now, on to the big ones.

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • “Argo” – Chris Terrio
  • “Beasts of the Southern Wild” – Lucy Alibar & Benh Zeitlin
  • “Life of Pi” – David Magee
  • “Lincoln” – Tony Kushner
  • “Silver Linings Playbook” – David O. Russell

I want to say Argo, but it will probably be Lincoln. In the battle between American heroism and America’s most beloved president, I think it’ll go to the president.

Best Original Screenplay

  • “Amour” – Michael Haneke
  • “Django Unchained” – Quentin Tarantino
  • “Flight” – John Gatins
  • “Moonrise Kingdom” – Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola
  • “Zero Dark Thirty” – Mark Boal

Quentin Tarantino has to win this one. Django is almost entirely overlooked in the nominations, but there’s no denying the screenplay is the best this year. Tarantino’s dialogue is amazing as always. You can question his directorial choices but you can’t question how he writes.

Actress in a Supporting Role

  • Amy Adams – “The Master”
  • Sally Field – “Lincoln”
  • Anne Hathaway – “Les Miserables”
  • Helen Hunt – “The Sessions”
  • Jackie Weaver – “Silver Linings Playbook”

Are you kidding me? Anne Hathaway. Everyone here is great, I wish that Amy Adams will win because she is as amazing as everyone else in The Master, and also because I’d really like to see the Academy slightly embarrassed by having all the actors win while their movie nor director is nominated, but Anne Hathaway plays a hooker with a heart of gold, doing everything for her kid, with a debilitating disease, in an adaptation of a beloved stage musical.

Yeah, it’s Anne Hathaway’s year.

Actor in a Supporting Role

  • Alan Arkin – “Argo”
  • Robert De Niro – “Silver Linings Playbook”
  • Philip Seymour Hoffman – “The Master”
  • Tommy Lee Jones – “Lincoln”
  • Christoph Waltz – “Django Unchained”

No clear winner here. Everyone is amazing and everyone has won before. I don’t see Christoph Waltz winning since he did just a couple years back for a very similar role, I don’t see Robert De Niro winning because unlike Jennifer Lawrence (whose performance is elevated above the movie she is in) he’s good but not great.

Alan Arkin was great but also was how Alan Arkin always is.

So that leaves Tommy Lee Jones and Philip Seymour Hoffman. I’d love to see Philip Seymour Hoffman win because he and Joaquin Phoenix are both spectacular in The Master, but Tommy Lee Jones I think might win for Lincoln because Daniel Day-Lewis isn’t going to win his trophy.

Actress in a Leading Role

  • Jessica Chastain – “Zero Dark Thirty”
  • Jennifer Lawrence – “Silver Linings Playbook”
  • Emmanuelle Riva – “Amour”
  • Quvenzhané Wallis – “Beasts of Southern Wild”
  • Naomi Watts – “The Impossible”

Do we even have to talk about this? I’m pretty sure this is Jennifer Lawrence’s award to lose as of this moment. Silver Linings Playbook may not be a great film however Jennifer Lawrence is great in it. She’s already been robbed once (have you seen winter’s Bone? She’s amazing) too so that pretty much locks it down.

So here’s hoping that Jessica Chastain wins next year, because Jennifer Lawrence is going to win this year.

Actor in a Leading Role

  • Bradley Cooper – “Silver Linings Playbook”
  • Daniel Day-Lewis – “Lincoln”
  • Hugh Jackman – “Les Miserables”
  • Joaquin Phoenix – “The Master”
  • Denzel Washington – “Flight”

As with the Best Supporting Actor category there doesn’t seem to be a clear front runner here. Everyone did great. I was particularly surprised by Bradley Cooper who is getting better and better. However, I think it’s going to go to Hugh Jackman because say what you will about Les Mis, he acted the shit out of it.

It’s too bad too, because Joaquin Phoenix was amazing in The Master.

Best Director

  • “Amour” – Michael Haneke
  • “Beasts of the Southern Wild” – Benh Zeitlin
  • “Life of Pi” – Ang Lee
  • “Lincoln” – Steven Spielberg
  • “Silver Linings Playbook” – David O. Russell

Steven Spielberg. Honestly, of all the directors eligible to be nominated this year he’s the only one on this list that would also be on mine. Paul Thomas Anderson, Ben Affleck, Kathryn Bigelow, and Quentin Tarantino are all missing for the record.

Best Picture

  • “Argo”
  • “Django Unchained”
  • “Les Miserables”
  • “Life of Pi”
  • “Amour”
  • “Lincoln”
  • “Silver Linings Playbook”
  • “Zero Dark Thirty”
  • “Beasts of the Southern Wild”

Argo has already won almost every major award there is in this category, including the Golden Globe, Producers Guild, Directors Guild, and SAG awards. You know why? Because it’s a great film and it deserves to win.

It’s also the safest bet because unlike Zero Dark Thirty, which I think is a better movie, it’s a story about one man’s heroism and the Academy eats that up.

Outside chance for Les Miserables, but for all the fanfare at its release no one is talking about it anymore.

So, Argo it is.

Later tonight we’ll be live blogging the show so you can watch in real time to see how I did with my predictions then! In the mean time, do you guy have any predictions or movies you are pulling for to win?

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